América vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
AME
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
AME
3 - 2
DOR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
AME
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 1
DOR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATS
0 - 1
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 3
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MON
2 - 2
PUE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |