América vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
AME
1 - 4
TIG
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 3
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MON
4 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
AME
4 - 3
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |