América vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
AME
3 - 1
BOC
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
BOC
4 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 2
AME
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
AME
2 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
AME
2 - 3
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
PAC
0 - 4
OLI
63%
20%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2001 |
PAC
1 - 0
JOE
74%
16%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |