América vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
COR
2 - 1
AME
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
AME
1 - 0
LIG
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
3 - 1
AME
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
AME
2 - 0
COR
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
AME
1 - 1
MIR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
1 - 1
LIG
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAC
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
12O
0 - 1
OLI
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OLI
3 - 1
CCC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |