América vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
AME
5 - 2
PAC
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
LOB
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PUM
1 - 0
AME
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 3
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 2
TIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TIG
3 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 3
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |