América vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 4
AME
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 2
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
QRO
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 1
AME
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
NEC
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 4
AME
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 1
NEC
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |