América vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
61%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
COR
0 - 2
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 0
AME
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LDA
1 - 0
AME
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 1
NEC
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
NEC
4 - 1
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
EST
3 - 3
NEC
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 1
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |