América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
QRO
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 0
SNL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ATS
0 - 2
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |