Liga MX Finals Ap. Last 16
Global 1-3
América vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
AME
2 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 3
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AME
1 - 0
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |