América vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ATL
1 - 4
AME
32%
25%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
SNL
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 1
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
QRO
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
KCW
1 - 1
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
ATS
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |