Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
América vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
REB
1 - 3
AME
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
AME
3 - 1
REB
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 2
AME
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
AME
4 - 1
CIE
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 3
PUM
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 2
AME
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
3 - 2
OLM
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAC
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |