Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 3-2
América vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 2
AME
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PUM
3 - 5
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LEO
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |