Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 3-3
América vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 5
AME
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 4
AME
54%
23%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
ALH
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
LIV
18%
20%
62%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
SAA
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |