Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 4-3
América vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
PUM
0 - 1
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
TIG
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 4
AME
36%
26%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 5
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
MON
4 - 2
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |