América vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
RIV
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 2
LDA
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
MON
0 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
MON
2 - 3
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
MON
3 - 0
CHI
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |