América vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
AME
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
AME
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
PAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 4
TIG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
JAG
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 4
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |