América vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
LDA
1 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 0
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
AME
1 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 0
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
AME
5 - 2
POR
88%
8%
3%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 2
ATS
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
JAG
3 - 0
PAC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |