América vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PUE
2 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AME
4 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
AME
3 - 3
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
DOR
0 - 1
AME
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
JAG
2 - 2
DOR
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ATS
0 - 1
JAG
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 3
CAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 0
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VER
0 - 2
JAG
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |