América vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
4 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
PUE
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
COR
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AME
4 - 2
STC
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
5 - 0
JUA
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
GAL
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
SJE
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |