América vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
JUA
1 - 1
AME
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AME
2 - 2
QRO
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ATS
3 - 0
AME
15%
23%
63%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
PAC
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 4
PAC
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATS
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
UAT
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |