América vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
ASV
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
3 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUA
1 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 0
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RSL
2 - 1
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
0 - 1
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
ATS
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 1
TIG
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |