Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 6-4
América vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 3
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AME
2 - 0
PUM
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 3
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 1
ATS
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 1
ATS
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |