América vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 2
AME
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
AME
3 - 1
TIG
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PAC
3 - 2
AME
49%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2001 |
AME
1 - 0
CFC
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
AME
1 - 0
PUE
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
ATS
2 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 3
ATS
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
ATS
3 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 1
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
ATS
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |