América vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
ATS
6 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1999 |
MIR
1 - 1
AME
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
TAC
1 - 0
AME
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
AME
2 - 0
ATS
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1998 |
RIV
1 - 0
AME
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
MIR
0 - 0
TAC
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
TAC
2 - 2
ATS
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
TAC
1 - 0
AME
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1999 |
TAC
0 - 2
MIR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
FLA
5 - 0
TAC
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |