América vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
AME
1 - 1
MIR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
AME
6 - 0
TAC
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
ATS
6 - 3
AME
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1999 |
MIR
1 - 1
AME
27%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
TAC
1 - 0
AME
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
COR
1 - 1
VAS
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
FLU
0 - 1
COR
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 0
COR
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
COR
2 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |