Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 2-0
América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
AME
6 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
VER
74%
18%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |