Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 0-0
América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
PUE
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
QRO
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 0
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
CAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIG
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
CAZ
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |