América vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
AME
1 - 1
IRA
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
REB
1 - 1
AME
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 2
AME
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
TIG
2 - 0
AME
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 2
MOR
71%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
EST
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 3
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |