América vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AME
1 - 3
ATS
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
4 - 2
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 2
OLI
41%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 0
MOT
28%
28%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |