América vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VER
4 - 0
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 0
AME
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 2
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
AME
3 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARS
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 2
RIV
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
3 - 2
SMA
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |