América vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 2
LDA
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
61%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
0 - 3
RIV
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2002 |
RIV
2 - 0
COR
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 0
CHI
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
RIV
0 - 1
AME
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
EST
2 - 3
RIV
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |