América TO vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
AME
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
TUP
24%
25%
50%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
AME
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DEM
0 - 0
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
USC
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
AMF
11%
20%
68%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
COR
8%
20%
72%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
CAL
41%
27%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
ANA
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |