América TO vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
79.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América TO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 1
AME
96%
4%
1%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
0 - 1
TUP
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
AME
2 - 0
UBE
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
3 - 2
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
ATM
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
DEM
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UBE
2 - 5
ATM
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | +1 |