América U20 vs Toluca U20 analysis

América U20 Toluca U20
56 ELO 52
2.3% Tilt 2.9%
23915º General ELO ranking 28005º
165º Country ELO ranking 212º
ELO win probability
54.2%
América U20
24.5%
Draw
21.3%
Toluca U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
América U20
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
Toluca U20
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América U20
+2%
+94%
Toluca U20

ELO progression

América U20
Toluca U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América U20
América U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2023
MEX
Toluca U20
2 - 0
América U20
AME
28%
26%
46%
56 50 6 0
13 May. 2023
AME
América U20
1 - 1
Atlas Guadalajara U20
ATL
56%
24%
20%
56 53 3 0
10 May. 2023
ATL
Atlas Guadalajara U20
2 - 3
América U20
AME
42%
25%
33%
55 53 2 +1
06 May. 2023
AME
América U20
2 - 1
Querétaro U-20
QUE
71%
19%
10%
55 43 12 0
03 May. 2023
QUE
Querétaro U-20
0 - 1
América U20
AME
22%
25%
54%
54 44 10 +1

Matches

Toluca U20
Toluca U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2023
MEX
Toluca U20
2 - 0
América U20
AME
28%
26%
46%
50 56 6 0
13 May. 2023
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U20
1 - 1
Toluca U20
MEX
48%
26%
26%
50 50 0 0
10 May. 2023
MEX
Toluca U20
3 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara U20
GUA
37%
27%
37%
49 50 1 +1
07 May. 2023
MEX
Toluca U20
2 - 1
Tigres UANL U20
TIG
34%
27%
39%
48 51 3 +1
04 May. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL U20
1 - 0
Toluca U20
MEX
49%
26%
26%
49 50 1 -1