América SP vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SER
3 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
UNI
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
RIO
68%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |