América SP vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+179%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PEN
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RBB
3 - 1
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
23%
24%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |