América SP vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
RIO
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |