América SP vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 2
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
FER
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |