América SP vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 3
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
LIN
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
VFC
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
AUD
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |