América SP vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNI
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |