América SP vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
RIO
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FER
3 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |