América SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VOT
1 - 3
AME
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SJS
4 - 0
AME
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 4
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
NOR
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
TAU
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |