América SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 3
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 4
SAO
13%
23%
65%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
OES
4 - 0
NOR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |