América SP vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 1
AME
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
SJS
67%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |