América SP vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VFC
0 - 0
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
3 - 2
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 1
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |