América SP vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
BAT
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
INT
1 - 1
AME
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
47%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
SEP
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
FRA
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 0
TAU
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 2
FRA
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |