América SP vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AME
4 - 1
CAT
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
AME
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AME
0 - 2
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |