América SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
0 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
2 - 1
AME
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |