América SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 3
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
OSV
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
3 - 1
AME
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
AME
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AME
4 - 2
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
RBB
3 - 2
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FER
0 - 3
RBB
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FER
3 - 0
ECN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
XVD
1 - 1
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |