América SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 3
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
FER
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |